week17

NFL Week 17

Final round of the regular season. I’ve put on a bit of a spurt to end the season. My actual bets are now back in profit. As for the Supercontest I’m ranked joint 21st, 4 points off the top and 2 points out of finishing in the money. Winning is out of the question, and I’ll need a perfect or near perfect week in get in the money. So here it goes:

Summary

Supercontest Picks:

  • Bills +3 By my numbers this should be close to a pickup. Obviously the reason for the line is that the Jets have to win to make the playoffs, while the Bills have “nothing” to play for.  This is a common theme around a lot of other games as it’s the last round of the regular season. In in fact some of these players & coaches have everything to play: their future in the league with getting a new contract, especially Rex Ryan against his old team.
  • Dolphins and the Browns +10.5 I like the number: double digit home dogs the right side of 10.
  • Chiefs -6.5 I’ve still got the Chiefs ranked really high, they’re 4th on my rankings. They can cover this number at home to Oakland.
  • Seahawks +6.5. Arizona are clearly the better team but this number is too high IMO.

4 out of 5 picks are the home team, which is uncommon for me, but also 4 out of 5 picks are the underdog.

Proper bets:

ML

    • Redskins 2.75 (+175)
    • Bills 2.35 (+135)

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