First off I hope you’ve had a Merry Christmas. I hope you haven’t drank too much, eaten too much, or spent too much time with your family. Remember, everything in moderation!

One of the best things around this time of year is the amount of sport on. If you like soccer there’s a load of that on. The NBA had a series of high profile games on Christmas Day which are always much appreciated by me. And the NFL has a full slate of games on this week. There’s only 2 weeks left in the regular season. Unfortunately it doesn’t look like I’m going to finish in the money in the Supercontest.

Summary

Supercontest Picks:

• Bengals +3.5 Again, even without Dalton, I’m on the Bengals.
• Ravens +10 I like the number considering the they’re at home against their old enemy. 10 points is too much for me considering.
• Miami -1.5 thank you very much.
• New Orleans +2.5 I’m happy with the likelihood that Brees will play.
• Lions -9.5. 49ers are bad, Gabbert is terrible.

Proper bets:

ML

• Redskins 2.50 (+150)
• Bears 2.50 (+150)
• Ravens 5.00 (+400)
• Bengals 2.65 (+165)

What an awful week to pick games. I’ve had to scrap the barrel for 3 of my Supercontest picks…

Due to more Xmas shenanigans this week’s post is late and it’s going to be pretty brief:

Summary

Supercontest Picks:

• Bengals -4.5 Even without Dalton they can cover this against a terrible 49ers team.
• Ravens +7.5 I like the number. Chiefs are a much better team but don’t blow teams away.
• Packers -3 “Always back Rodgers bruh!”
• Bills -1 Scraping the barrel.
• Miami +2 I had to make another pick.

Proper bets:

ML

• Rams 1.90 (-111)
• Falcons 1.91 (-110)
• Bears 3.10 (+210)
• Cards 1.61 (-164)
• Bills 1.91 (-110)
• Denver 3.57 (+257)
• Bengals 1.67 (-149)
• Lions 2.47 (+147)

Just 4 weeks left in the regular season. I’m 4 points off the top in my Supercontest, so I need to have 4 good weeks in finish in the money.

Fortunately the picks this week pretty much picked themselves.

First pick is one that every single person should be making: Seattle -6.5 at the Ravens. They’re currently -11 on Pinnacle. You’re getting 6.5 points here, and going through the key numbers of 7 and 10. I’ve criticised people not making picks like this before. If you’re not on Seattle -6.5 you don’t know what you’re doing. Out of 125 people in my Supercontest, only 56 have made this pick. Mind you there’s 23 people who forgot to make any picks at all… Idiots.

Seattle have climbed right up to 5^th place in my Rankings. Top place is now the Cincinnati Bengals. Who are only favoured by 2.5 points at home to Pittsburgh. Even if they were on a neutral field I’d have them favoured by more than 2.5 points so I’m on the Bengals with my 2^nd pick. I’m also on the Bengals ML with some hard-earned too.

New England have dropped down to 3rd in my Rankings after losing to the Eagles last week. We’ve got a couple of overreactions to that freak result: I’m on New England -3 in the Contest and on them ML too. I’m opposing the Eagles by backing the Bills +1.5 ATS. Despite their injuries and last 2 results, New England should be favoured by more than 3 points at Houston.

Another easy pick that everyone in the contest who knows what they are doing has made: the Lions pick’em at the Rams. The Lions are currently -3.5 on Pinnacle. Only 28 people in my Supercontest are on Detroit too.

Final pick is the Bears -3 at home to the Redskins.

Sure did. The Redskins have lost every road game this season. I was tempted to make the final pick the Giants at Miami, as I’m on the Giants ML.

So there you have it. On the face of it, 3 of my picks are 3 of the top teams in the NFL: New England, Seattle & Cincinnati. Looks square, I don’t think it is though. Honest.

Summary

Supercontest Picks:

• Bengals -2.5
• Lions (Pick ’em)
• Bears -3
• Patriots -3
• Seahawks -6.5

Proper bets:

ATS

• Bills +1.5

ML

• Giants 2.00 (+100 US)
• Patriots 1.62 (-161)
• Bengals 1.71 (-141)