NFL Week 14

Just 4 weeks left in the regular season. I’m 4 points off the top in my Supercontest, so I need to have 4 good weeks in finish in the money.

Fortunately the picks this week pretty much picked themselves.

First pick is one that every single person should be making: Seattle -6.5 at the Ravens. They’re currently -11 on Pinnacle. You’re getting 6.5 points here, and going through the key numbers of 7 and 10. I’ve criticised people not making picks like this before. If you’re not on Seattle -6.5 you don’t know what you’re doing. Out of 125 people in my Supercontest, only 56 have made this pick. Mind you there’s 23 people who forgot to make any picks at all… Idiots.

Seattle have climbed right up to 5th place in my Rankings. Top place is now the Cincinnati Bengals. Who are only favoured by 2.5 points at home to Pittsburgh. Even if they were on a neutral field I’d have them favoured by more than 2.5 points so I’m on the Bengals with my 2nd pick. I’m also on the Bengals ML with some hard-earned too.

New England have dropped down to 3rd in my Rankings after losing to the Eagles last week. We’ve got a couple of overreactions to that freak result: I’m on New England -3 in the Contest and on them ML too. I’m opposing the Eagles by backing the Bills +1.5 ATS. Despite their injuries and last 2 results, New England should be favoured by more than 3 points at Houston.

Another easy pick that everyone in the contest who knows what they are doing has made: the Lions pick’em at the Rams. The Lions are currently -3.5 on Pinnacle. Only 28 people in my Supercontest are on Detroit too.

Final pick is the Bears -3 at home to the Redskins.

“Did you just say “Redskins” instead of “Washington Football Team””?!!

Sure did. The Redskins have lost every road game this season. I was tempted to make the final pick the Giants at Miami, as I’m on the Giants ML.

So there you have it. On the face of it, 3 of my picks are 3 of the top teams in the NFL: New England, Seattle & Cincinnati. Looks square, I don’t think it is though. Honest.


Supercontest Picks:

  • Bengals -2.5
  • Lions (Pick ’em)
  • Bears -3
  • Patriots -3
  • Seahawks -6.5

Proper bets:


  • Bills +1.5


  • Giants 2.00 (+100 US)
  • Patriots 1.62 (-161)
  • Bengals 1.71 (-141)

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