More of the Same

My Supercontest picks scored 2.5 points out of 5 again this past week in the NFL. At one point on Sunday it looked like I was only gonna score 1 point. It was a tough week all round for everyone in my Supercontest. The average score was only 2.2 points and only 4 people scored 4 or more points! Even though I only scored 2.5 points I managed to climb 2 places in the rankings to joint 4th place, 1.5 points off the top.

Proper bets posted had another positive week, +1.81 pts, mainly due to Carolina winning at Seattle. I still think both teams are overrated. I’ve updated the Power Rankings for this week and Carolina are still a slightly above average team.  They’re at home to Philly this weekend so all aboard the Philly bandwagon for the bet of the week: Philly ML or ATS at Carolina. That Chip Kelly offence, I’ve always liked it, honest.

Seahawks are at San Fran on Thursday night and nobody wants to back the 49ers judging by the market. Seahawks are overrated, the 49ers don’t suck as much as everyone feared pre-season and Thursday football is a bit of a crapshoot. Therefore I reckon there’s value on the 49ers.

If you check out my Power Rankings you’ll probably think that The Jets are ranked too high and Green Bay are too low. I would agree. The Jets are similar the Broncos where they have an awesome defence with an average (at best) QB. Strange to be comparing Ryan Fitzpatrick to Peyton Manning, but Manning’s numbers are pretty ugly:

  • Manning has had 10 INTs through six games. He’s played five entire seasons with 10 INTs or fewer.
  • He is connecting on 61.6% of this throws in 2015, his lowest rate since he was a rookie (56.7%).
  • His seven TDs are his fewest through six games since, his rookie season.

The Jets are at New England on Sunday so we’ll see how good they really are, while Green Bay and Denver are on bye weeks. They play each other next week at Denver.

I’ll have a full week 7 preview up soon. It’s week 7 already! We’re flying through this season.

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